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Al Kahraba vs Diyala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Thu, Nov 19, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Kahraba host Diyala in the Stars League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Diyala have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Al Kahraba have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Al Kahraba have won 3 to Diyala's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.00 - 1.19) back Diyala to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Kahraba
30%
Draws
39%
Diyala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Diyala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Kahraba haven't matched Diyala's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 20%
Diyala Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kahraba Diyala
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Kahraba
0:2
Nov 22, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Diyala
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Diyala
1:1
Oct 30, 2024 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Kahraba
1:2
Jul 8, 2011 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Diyala
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kahraba 32 / 100
Diyala 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kahraba Diyala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kahraba found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Diyala conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Kahraba stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Kahraba VS Diyala
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kahraba

(Home)
05 Nov
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Zakho
29 Oct
Al Naft
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
23 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 1
Al Kahraba
16 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 1
Al Talaba
10 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Karbala
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Diyala

(Away)
05 Nov
Diyala
0 : 0
Al Minaa
31 Oct
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Diyala
24 Oct
Newroz
0 : 0
Diyala
16 Oct
Diyala
2 : 0
Naft Missan
09 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Diyala
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)