Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Kahraba vs Karbala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Aiad A.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Kahraba
30%
Draws
23%
Karbala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Kahraba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Kahraba have won more games recently than Karbala.
  • Al Kahraba are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 68%
Karbala Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kahraba Karbala
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 3
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.07 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Karbala
0:0
Mar 13, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Karbala
1:1
Dec 6, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Kahraba
0:0
Apr 30, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Kahraba
0:0
Feb 27, 2024 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Karbala
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kahraba 68 / 100
Karbala 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kahraba Karbala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kahraba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Karbala conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Al Kahraba scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Karbala has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Kahraba VS Karbala
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kahraba

(Home)
05 Nov
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Zakho
29 Oct
Al Naft
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
23 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 1
Al Kahraba
16 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 1
Al Talaba
10 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Karbala
Page 1 of 6

Karbala

(Away)
06 Nov
Newroz
1 : 0
Karbala
30 Oct
Karbala
2 : 2
Al Talaba
23 Oct
Duhok
5 : 2
Karbala
16 Oct
Karbala
1 : 2
Al Gharraf
10 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Karbala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)