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Al Kahraba vs Karbala

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Kahraba host Karbala in the Stars League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Al Kahraba at 1.3 goals for, 1.4 against; Karbala at 0.79 for, 1.93 against. Head-to-head, Al Kahraba have won 0 to Karbala's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.06, favoring Al Kahraba. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al Kahraba
20%
Draws
30%
Karbala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Kahraba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Kahraba have won more games recently than Karbala.
  • Al Kahraba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 20%
Karbala Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kahraba Karbala
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 3
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.3 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Karbala
1:1
Dec 6, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Kahraba
0:0
Apr 30, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Kahraba
0:0
Feb 27, 2024 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Karbala
0:1
May 29, 2023 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Karbala
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kahraba 85 / 100
Karbala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kahraba Karbala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kahraba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Karbala conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Al Kahraba scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Al Kahraba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Karbala has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Kahraba VS Karbala
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kahraba

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Al Gharraf
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

Karbala

(Away)
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3
Erbil
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1
Karbala
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
30 Aug
Al-Karma
2 : 0
Karbala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)