Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Karkh vs Al-Karma

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Al Karkh Logo

Al Karkh

0 - 0
FT
Al-Karma Logo

Al-Karma

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Al Karkh
20%
Draws
61%
Al-Karma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Al-Karma have won more games recently than Al Karkh.
  • Win probability leans Al-Karma's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karkh Al-Karma
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 12
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.2 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al-Karma
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Karkh
1:1
May 19, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al-Karma
0:1
Jan 23, 2025 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Karkh
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karkh 13 / 100
Al-Karma 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karkh Al-Karma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Karma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al-Karma conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Al Karkh scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Karkh stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Karkh VS Al-Karma
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karkh

(Home)
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
25 Aug
Al Karkh
0 : 1
Erbil
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Al-Karma

(Away)
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2
Al-Karma
09 Sept
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2
Al-Karma
30 Aug
Al-Karma
2 : 0
Karbala
26 Aug
Al Kahraba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)