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Al Karkh vs Zakho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Haji H.
75' Event
Hamoud Y.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Soro Nanga M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Al Karkh and Zakho finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Karkh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Karkh
30%
Draws
29%
Zakho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Karkh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Al Karkh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Karkh a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Stars League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 68%
Zakho Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karkh Zakho
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Zakho
3:1
Dec 31, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Karkh
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Zakho
1:1
Jan 3, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Karkh
2:0
May 13, 2024 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Karkh
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Karkh Compare

Top Goalscorer Soro Nanga M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Zakho Compare

Top Goalscorer Haji H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karkh 68 / 100
Zakho 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karkh Zakho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karkh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zakho conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al Karkh has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Karkh's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Karkh VS Zakho
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karkh

(Home)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

Zakho

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)