Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Karma vs Al Shorta

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kuku K.
Assist: Barco C.
32' Event
Bassene P.
Assist: Amadi S.
51' Event
Faisal A.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al-Karma and Al Shorta finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Karma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al-Karma
20%
Draws
34%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Shorta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Al-Karma taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 68%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Karma Al Shorta
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 18
Draws 12 9
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.55 1.84
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Shorta
2:1
Apr 17, 2026 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Shorta
1:1
Oct 29, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al-Karma
1:0
May 13, 2025 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Shorta
0:4
Sep 21, 2024 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al-Karma
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Karma Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassene P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faisal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Shorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuku K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Karma 50 / 100
Al Shorta 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Karma Al Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Karma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Karma has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Al-Karma's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Al Shorta has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Karma VS Al Shorta
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Karma

(Home)
19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2
Al-Karma
09 Sept
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2
Al-Karma
30 Aug
Al-Karma
2 : 0
Karbala
Page 1 of 7

Al Shorta

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
16 Sept
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Seeb
12 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
08 Sept
Al Gharraf
1 : 2
Al Shorta
04 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Erbil
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)