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Al Karma vs Al Shorta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kuku K.
Assist: Barco C.
32' Event
Bassene P.
Assist: Amadi S.
51' Event
Faisal A.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Karma and Al Shorta finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Karma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Karma
30%
Draws
37%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Shorta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Al Karma taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al Karma Clean Sheet 20%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karma Al Shorta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 12 10
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 1.55 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Stars League
Al Karma vs Al Shorta
2:1
Apr 17, 2026 Stars League
Al Karma vs Al Shorta
1:1
Oct 29, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Karma
1:0
May 13, 2025 Stars League
Al Karma vs Al Shorta
0:4
Sep 21, 2024 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Karma
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Karma Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassene P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faisal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Al Shorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuku K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karma 36 / 100
Al Shorta 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karma Al Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Karma scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Karma stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Al Shorta has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Karma VS Al Shorta
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karma

(Home)
06 Nov
Al Karma
4 : 1
Naft Missan
30 Oct
Al Karma
1 : 0
Duhok
24 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 1
Al Karma
17 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 0
Al Karma
10 Oct
Al Karma
3 : 2
Al Karkh
Page 1 of 6

Al Shorta

(Away)
08 Nov
Al Shorta
2 : 1
Al Naft
03 Nov
Al Hussein
0 : 3
Al Shorta
31 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Newroz
27 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Hussein
23 Oct
Al Zawraa
0 : 2
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 12 7 4 1 14:5 25
4 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
5 Al Shorta 12 5 6 1 13:6 21
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 12 5 4 3 15:8 19
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
14 Al Gharraf 12 3 4 5 8:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)