Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Karma vs Al Shorta

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Al-Karma Logo

Al-Karma

1 - 1
FT
Al Shorta Logo

Al Shorta

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Atiba L.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Hussein A.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Al-Karma and Al Shorta finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Al-Karma
35%
Draws
31%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Al Shorta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al-Karma are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 68%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Karma Al Shorta
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 11 20
Draws 13 10
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 1.5 1.82
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Shorta
1:1
Oct 29, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al-Karma
1:0
May 13, 2025 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Shorta
0:4
Sep 21, 2024 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al-Karma
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Karma 50 / 100
Al Shorta 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Karma Al Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Karma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Karma went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al-Karma scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Al Shorta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al-Karma VS Al Shorta
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Karma

(Home)
15 Aug
Al-Karma
1 : 1
Al Mosul
02 Jun
Al Kahraba
0 : 3
Al-Karma
27 May
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Diyala
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
14 May
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Al-Karma
Page 1 of 6

Al Shorta

(Away)
16 Aug
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Karbala
02 Jun
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Minaa
28 May
Al Karkh
0 : 2
Al Shorta
20 May
Al Shorta
0 : 2
Erbil
15 May
Diyala
0 : 2
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)