Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Karma vs Naft Al-Basra

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
Al-Karma Logo

Al-Karma

0 - 0
FT
Naft Al-Basra Logo

Naft Al-Basra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2024/2025 game between Al-Karma and Naft Al-Basra finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Al-Karma
15%
Draws
18%
Naft Al-Basra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Karma come out ahead of Naft Al-Basra on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al-Karma's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 68%
Naft Al-Basra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Karma Naft Al-Basra
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 13 9
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.53 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2025 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Naft Al-Basra
0:0
Oct 28, 2024 Stars League
Naft Al-Basra vs Al-Karma
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Karma 95 / 100
Naft Al-Basra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Karma Naft Al-Basra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Karma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Al-Karma remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Naft Al-Basra has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Naft Al-Basra's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Karma VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Karma

(Home)
19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2
Al-Karma
09 Sept
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2
Al-Karma
30 Aug
Al-Karma
2 : 0
Karbala
Page 1 of 7

Naft Al-Basra

(Away)
14 Jul
Baghdad
1 : 0
Naft Al-Basra
04 Jul
Naft Al-Basra
4 : 3
Erbil
27 Jun
Diyala
2 : 2
Naft Al-Basra
20 Jun
Naft Al-Basra
1 : 3
Al Shorta
14 Jun
Zakho
2 : 1
Naft Al-Basra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 38 26 9 3 75:23 87
2 Al Zawraa 38 23 8 7 56:28 77
3 Zakho 38 20 11 7 57:25 71
4 Al Talaba 38 18 9 11 40:27 63
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 17 9 12 51:43 60
6 Al Naft 38 15 14 9 32:27 59
7 Duhok 38 16 9 13 47:41 57
8 Al-Karma 38 15 11 12 43:35 56
9 Newroz 38 14 11 13 46:41 53
10 Al-Qassim 38 13 13 12 43:43 52
11 Naft Missan 38 14 9 15 42:46 51
12 Erbil 38 15 5 18 49:61 50
13 Al Kahraba 38 12 13 13 39:41 49
14 Al Najaf 38 11 13 14 37:36 46
15 Al Karkh 38 12 10 16 40:49 46
16 Al Minaa 38 11 10 17 39:44 43
17 Diyala 38 10 11 17 31:50 41
18 Naft Al-Basra 38 8 9 21 32:57 33
19 Al-Hudod 38 8 2 28 37:79 26
20 Karbala 38 4 10 24 26:66 22
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)