Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Karma vs Newroz

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Al-Karma Logo

Al-Karma

0 - 1
FT
Newroz Logo

Newroz

Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Mohsin A.
90' Event
Komolafe P.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al-Karma and Newroz finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newroz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Al-Karma
30%
Draws
27%
Newroz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al-Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Newroz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al-Karma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Al-Karma have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 20%
Newroz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Karma Newroz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 12 6
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.76 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Newroz
0:1
Jan 27, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Al-Karma
0:1
Mar 4, 2025 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Newroz
2:0
Nov 6, 2024 Stars League
Newroz vs Al-Karma
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Karma 85 / 100
Newroz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Karma Newroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Karma went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Newroz let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Al-Karma scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Karma VS Newroz
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Karma

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Kahraba
0 : 3
Al-Karma
27 May
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Diyala
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
14 May
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Al-Karma
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

Newroz

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Naft
2 : 1
Newroz
27 May
Newroz
1 : 1
Al Mosul
20 May
Newroz
2 : 1
Zakho
16 May
Erbil
0 : 1
Newroz
11 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)