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Al Karma vs Zakho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
Mbule S.
65' Event
Bassene P.
Assist: Jasim S.
90'
Ajibola D.

AI Match Summary

Al Karma in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Karma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Al Karma
20%
Draws
23%
Zakho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Karma lately — more wins on the board than Zakho.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Al Karma taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Al Karma Clean Sheet 68%
Zakho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karma Zakho
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 12 9
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Stars League
Al Karma vs Zakho
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Karma
2:2
Dec 27, 2025 Stars League
Al Karma vs Zakho
0:0
Jul 2, 2025 Stars League
Al Karma vs Zakho
0:0
Feb 27, 2025 Iraq Cup
Zakho vs Al Karma
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Karma Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassene P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Zakho Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karma 95 / 100
Zakho 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karma Zakho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karma found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Zakho has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Al Karma remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Zakho's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Karma VS Zakho
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karma

(Home)
06 Nov
Al Karma
4 : 1
Naft Missan
30 Oct
Al Karma
1 : 0
Duhok
24 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 1
Al Karma
17 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 0
Al Karma
10 Oct
Al Karma
3 : 2
Al Karkh
Page 1 of 6

Zakho

(Away)
05 Nov
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Zakho
31 Oct
Naft Missan
0 : 0
Zakho
22 Oct
Zakho
2 : 1
Erbil
17 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Zakho
09 Oct
Zakho
0 : 1
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)