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Al-Karma vs Zakho

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Karma host Zakho in the Stars League. Al-Karma go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Al-Karma at 1.59 goals for, 0.76 against; Zakho at 1.13 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Al-Karma have won 0 to Zakho's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Al-Karma to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Al-Karma
35%
Draws
21%
Zakho
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al-Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Karma lately — more wins on the board than Zakho.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Al-Karma taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 20%
Zakho Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Karma Zakho
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 12 8
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Al-Karma
2:2
Dec 27, 2025 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Zakho
0:0
Jul 2, 2025 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Zakho
0:0
Feb 27, 2025 Iraq Cup
Zakho vs Al-Karma
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Stars League
Zakho vs Al-Karma
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Karma 85 / 100
Zakho 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Karma Zakho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Karma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Al-Karma remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Al-Karma scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Zakho conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al-Karma VS Zakho
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Karma

(Home)
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2
Al-Karma
09 Sept
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2
Al-Karma
30 Aug
Al-Karma
2 : 0
Karbala
26 Aug
Al Kahraba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
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Zakho

(Away)
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
25 Aug
Zakho
2 : 2
Diyala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 7 5 2 0 13:5 17
2 Al Zawraa 7 4 3 0 13:3 15
3 Newroz 7 4 2 1 13:4 14
4 Erbil 7 4 2 1 9:3 14
5 Al Naft 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
6 Al Shorta 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
7 Al Golan 7 2 3 2 6:7 9
8 Zakho 7 2 3 2 7:10 9
9 Duhok 7 1 5 1 10:10 8
10 Diyala 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
11 Al Mosul 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
12 Al Minaa 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 7 1 4 2 10:11 7
14 Ghaz Al Shamal 7 1 4 2 4:5 7
15 Al Kahraba 7 1 4 2 6:8 7
16 Naft Missan 7 1 4 2 4:8 7
17 Al Talaba 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
18 Karbala 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
19 Al Gharraf 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
20 Al Karkh 7 1 1 5 7:12 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)