Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Kawkab vs Al Rayan

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Al Kawkab and Al Rayan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Rayan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Al Kawkab
30%
Draws
58%
Al Rayan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Rayan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Rayan come out ahead of Al Kawkab on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Rayan a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al Kawkab Clean Sheet 10%
Al Rayan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kawkab Al Rayan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 Division 2
Al Rayan vs Al Kawkab
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 Division 2
Al Kawkab vs Al Rayan
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kawkab 10 / 100
Al Rayan 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kawkab Al Rayan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Rayan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Rayan has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Al Kawkab scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Kawkab remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Kawkab VS Al Rayan
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kawkab

(Home)
09 Apr
Al Safa
2 : 2
Al Kawkab
04 Apr
Al Kawkab
1 : 1
Al Nairea
27 Mar
Al Kawkab
0 : 3
Al Saqer
15 Mar
Mudhar Club
1 : 0
Al Kawkab
06 Mar
Al Kawkab
2 : 2
Al Qous
Page 1 of 6

Al Rayan

(Away)
09 Apr
Bisha
0 : 2
Al Rayan
03 Apr
Al Rayan
3 : 2
Hajer
27 Mar
Al Rayan
4 : 3
Wej Sports Club
13 Mar
Hottain
1 : 3
Al Rayan
06 Mar
Al Rayan
1 : 0
Al Qalah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)