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Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam
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Match Events

9'
Al Saadi N.
34'
Al Khabrani M.
43'
Al Nasser S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Al Khaleej
35%
Draws
45%
Al Nassr
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nassr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Nassr have won more games recently than Al Khaleej.
  • Win probability leans Al Nassr's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Nassr have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 10%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khaleej Al Nassr
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 19
Draws 10 2
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.82 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr
0:5
Nov 23, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Khaleej
4:1
May 21, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Khaleej
2:0
Jan 21, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Khaleej Compare

Top Goalscorer Mascarell O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Al Nassr Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hamdan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khaleej 26 / 100
Al Nassr 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khaleej Al Nassr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nassr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Al Nassr let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Al Khaleej remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Al Khaleej's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Khaleej VS Al Nassr
0.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Khaleej

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Khaleej
1 : 5
Al Hilal
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 6

Al Nassr

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
28 Aug
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Al Taawon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)