Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Khaleej vs Al Taawon

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup 2025/2026 Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam
Mon, Oct 27, 2025
2 - 1
02:35 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
King J.
15'
Al Mufarrij M.
21'
Al Hafith A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Al Khaleej advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Khaleej
35%
Draws
26%
Al Taawon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Khaleej

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Taawon come out ahead of Al Khaleej on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Al Taawon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Taawon, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 68%
Al Taawon Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khaleej Al Taawon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Taawon vs Al Khaleej
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Taawon vs Al Khaleej
1:1
Oct 27, 2025 King Cup
Al Khaleej vs Al Taawon
2:1
Sep 25, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Taawon
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Taawon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Khaleej Compare

Top Goalscorer King J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Al Taawon Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez Tobinson R. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khaleej 41 / 100
Al Taawon 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khaleej Al Taawon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Khaleej Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Taawon conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Al Khaleej scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Al Khaleej remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Al Taawon has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Khaleej VS Al Taawon
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Khaleej

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Khaleej
1 : 5
Al Hilal
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 6

Al Taawon

(Away)
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
08 Sept
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 0
Al Taawon
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
28 Aug
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Al Taawon
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Batin 3
Al Ettifaq FC 2
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 0
Al Ahli SC 5
Al Orubah 1
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hazem Rass 2
Neom SC 1
Al Raed 0
Al Okhdood 1
Al Adalah 0
Al Hilal 1
Al Jabalain 1
Al Fateh 2
Al Jubail 0
Al Riyadh 1
Al Bukiryah 1
Al Kholood 2
Al Najma 2
Damac 1
Al Taee 0
Al Khaleej 5
Al-Faisaly 0
Al Taawon 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Nassr 4
Al Wehda 0
Al Ittihad 1
Abha 2
Al Shabab 3
Al Zulfi 1
Al Fayha 0
1/8-finals
Al Batin 0
Al Ahli SC 3
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hazem Rass 1
Al Okhdood 0
Al Hilal 1
Al Fateh 2
Al Riyadh 0
Al Kholood 1
Al Najma 0
Al Khaleej 2
Al Taawon 1
Al Nassr 1
Al Ittihad 2
Al Shabab 1
Al Zulfi 0
Quarter-finals
Al Ahli SC 4
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hilal 4
Al Fateh 1
Al Kholood 4
Al Khaleej 3
Al Ittihad 4
Al Shabab 1
Semi-finals
Al Ahli SC 1
Al Hilal 2
Al Kholood 3
Al Ittihad 2
Final
Al Hilal 2
Al Kholood 1