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Al Khalidiyah vs Al-Muharraq

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mendy D.
25' Event
Arthur Rezende
(Penalty)
36' Event
Arthur Rezende

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Khalidiyah and Al-Muharraq finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Muharraq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Khalidiyah
44%
Draws
20%
Al-Muharraq
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Khalidiyah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Al Khalidiyah Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Muharraq Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khalidiyah Al-Muharraq
Matches Played 38 37
Wins 26 25
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Premier League
Al Khalidiyah vs Al-Muharraq
1:2
Mar 18, 2026 Super Cup
Al-Muharraq vs Al Khalidiyah
0:3
Jan 2, 2026 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Al Khalidiyah
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Al Khalidiyah vs Al-Muharraq
1:2
Apr 10, 2025 King's Cup
Al Khalidiyah vs Al-Muharraq
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Khalidiyah Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendy D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Al-Muharraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur Rezende
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khalidiyah 37 / 100
Al-Muharraq 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khalidiyah Al-Muharraq

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Khalidiyah scored in 84% of their last 38 outings.

Al-Muharraq has conceded goals in 68% of their last 37 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Al Khalidiyah has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Khalidiyah VS Al-Muharraq
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq22174145:755
2Al Khalidiyah22180442:1654
3Al Riffa22154341:1749
4Malkia2296723:1633
5Aali Club2294919:2031
6Al-Hidd2286829:2330
7Al-Ahli2276928:2827
8Sitra2276922:3127
9Al-Budaiya22641224:3422
10Al-Najma22641221:3522
11Al-Shabbab2235148:3414
12Bahrain SC22211915:567