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Al Khmes vs Al Madina Prediction & H2H Stats

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Khmes and Al Madina finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Madina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Khmes
30%
Draws
31%
Al Madina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Khmes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Madina come out ahead of Al Khmes on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Al Khmes Clean Sheet 20%
Al Madina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khmes Al Madina
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Premier League
Al Khmes vs Al Madina
0:2
Jan 6, 2026 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Khmes
2:2
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Al Khmes vs Al Madina
0:1
Jan 16, 2025 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Khmes
2:0
Mar 1, 2024 Premier League
Al Khmes vs Al Madina
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khmes 31 / 100
Al Madina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khmes Al Madina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Khmes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Khmes found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Al Madina conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Khmes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Khmes VS Al Madina
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Khmes

(Home)
23 Apr
Abu Salim
0 : 0
Al-Khmes
18 Apr
Al-Khmes
1 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1
Al-Khmes
08 Apr
Al-Khmes
2 : 2
Assabah
16 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
2 : 0
Al-Khmes
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Al Madina

(Away)
24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3
Asswehly
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al-Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
06 May
Al Madina
3 : 2
Olympic Azzaweya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)