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Al Khmes vs Rafeeq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Khmes in this Premier League 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Khmes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Khmes
30%
Draws
41%
Rafeeq
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rafeeq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Al Khmes have won more games recently than Rafeeq.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Al Khmes Clean Sheet 19%
Rafeeq Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khmes Rafeeq
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.94 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2021 Premier League
Al Khmes vs Rafeeq
1:0
Feb 10, 2021 Premier League
Rafeeq vs Al Khmes
2:2
Mar 11, 2019 Premier League
Rafeeq vs Al Khmes
0:1
Jan 22, 2018 Premier League
Rafeeq vs Al Khmes
0:0
Aug 15, 2017 Premier League
Al Khmes vs Rafeeq
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khmes 31 / 100
Rafeeq 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khmes Rafeeq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Khmes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rafeeq let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Khmes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Khmes's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Khmes VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Khmes

(Home)
23 Apr
Abu Salim
0 : 0
Al Khmes
18 Apr
Al Khmes
1 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1
Al Khmes
08 Apr
Al Khmes
2 : 2
Assabah
16 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
2 : 0
Al Khmes
Page 1 of 7

Rafeeq

(Away)
26 Jul
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 0
Rafeeq
22 Jul
Al Wehda
1 : 2
Rafeeq
19 Jul
Rafeeq
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
15 Jul
Rafeeq
2 : 1
Al Madina
11 Jul
Asswehly
2 : 1
Rafeeq
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 22 17 2 3 38:13 53
2 Al Akhdar 22 17 1 4 40:14 52
3 Al Hilal Benghazi 22 16 4 2 36:13 52
4 Al Nasr 22 15 4 3 31:13 49
5 Khaleej Sirte 22 10 5 7 22:19 35
6 Al Sadaqa 22 6 5 11 20:26 23
7 Al Tahaddi 22 6 4 12 14:21 22
8 Darnes 22 4 9 9 20:28 21
9 Shabaab Al Jabal 22 3 9 10 23:33 18
10 Al Taawun 22 4 5 13 22:35 17
11 Al Anwar 22 2 7 13 22:49 13
12 Ngom Ajdabiya 22 2 5 15 12:36 11
Promotion - Premier League 2020/2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad 22 15 6 1 26:6 51
2 Al Ahly Tripoli 22 14 7 1 29:7 49
3 Olympic Azzaweya 22 9 6 7 22:19 33
4 Al Ittihad Misurata 22 9 5 8 26:25 32
5 Abu Salim 22 9 3 10 23:26 30
6 Asswehly 22 7 9 6 15:15 28
7 Al Mahalla Tripoli 22 5 11 6 21:23 26
8 Al Madina 22 6 7 9 21:17 25
9 Al Khmes 22 5 8 9 21:28 23
10 Al Shat 22 6 4 12 17:25 22
11 Rafeeq 22 5 6 11 21:34 21
12 Al Wehda 22 4 4 14 14:31 16
Promotion - Premier League 2020/2021 (Play Offs)