Sport Picks
Al Kholood vs Al Ahli SC
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass 
Match Events
32'
32'
Kortajarena I.
Assist: da Costa C.
35'
35'
Yousef H. A. M.
43'
43'
Toney I.
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League game between Al Kholood and Al Ahli SC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Kholood.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Kholood
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Ahli SC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 12%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Kholood | Al Ahli SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Ahli SC
3:1
May 16, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Kholood
3:0
Jan 17, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Ahli SC
0:1
May 17, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Kholood
4:1
Jan 15, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Ahli SC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Kholood Compare
Top Goalscorer Kortajarena I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Domingues J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Al Ahli SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Toney I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Kholood 29 / 100
Al Ahli SC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Kholood Al Ahli SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Kholood Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Kholood scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Al Ahli SC has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Al Kholood remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Kholood VS Al Ahli SC
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Kholood
(Home) 13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0 Al Kholood
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1 Al Shabab
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2 Al Kholood
29 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 1 Al Ahli SC
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1 Al Kholood
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1 Al Shabab
29 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 1 Al Ahli SC
22 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 2 Al Taawon
21 May
Al Kholood
0 : 0 Al Fateh
12 May
Al Kholood
0 : 0 Al Okhdood
Page 1 of 3
Al Ahli SC
(Away) 19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1 Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1 Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0 Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1 Al Ahli SC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0 Al Ahli SC
29 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 1 Al Ahli SC
17 Aug
Al Anwar
1 : 2 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Ahli SC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Ettifaq FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem Rass | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Fateh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Al-Faisaly | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
