Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Vlap M.
26'
26'
Smiri K.
Own Goal
36'
36'
Anad A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-4, with Al Ahli advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Ahli come out ahead of Al Khor on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Al Ahli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Al Ahli, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Ahli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Al Khor Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Khor | Al Ahli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 5, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Khor vs Al Ahli
2:4
Jan 29, 2025 QSL
Al Khor vs Al Ahli
0:1
Aug 23, 2024 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Khor
2:1
Feb 4, 2022 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Khor
6:3
Oct 17, 2021 QSL
Al Khor vs Al Ahli
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Khor Compare
Top Goalscorer Anad A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yahia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Al Ahli Compare
Top Goalscorer Vlap M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abdelrahman Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Khor 34 / 100
Al Ahli 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Khor Al Ahli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Khor scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Al Ahli has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Al Khor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Khor VS Al Ahli
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Khor
(Home) 29 Sept
Al Khor
0 : 2 Umm-Salal
22 Sept
Muaither SC
2 : 0 Al Khor
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5 Al Khor
30 Aug
Al Kharitiyath
3 : 1 Al Khor
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Al Khor
0 : 2 Umm-Salal
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
27 Jul
Al Khor
1 : 2 Al Fujairah
30 Apr
Al Khor
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
25 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 1 Al Bidda
Page 1 of 3
Al Ahli
(Away) 29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1 Al Ahli
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1 Al Shahaniya
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0 Al Ahli
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0 Qatar SC
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3 Lusail
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1 Al Ahli
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0 Al Ahli
22 Aug
Al Sadd
3 : 1 Al Ahli
03 Aug
Al Hilal
3 : 3 Al Ahli
30 Jul
Al Shabab
3 : 0 Al Ahli
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Rayyan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Umm-Salal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Muaither SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27:16 | 19 |
| 5 | Al Waab | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Markhiya | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Sailiya | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Al Shahaniya | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Shamal | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Bidda | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Khor | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Mesaimeer | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Qatar SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Al Kharitiyath | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Ahli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Al Duhail | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Lusail | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Wakra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 6 |
| 19 | Al Gharafa | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:22 | 5 |
| 20 | Al Sadd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18:31 | 5 |
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
