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Al Loa vs Al Nairea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Loa in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Loa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Loa
30%
Draws
33%
Al Nairea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Loa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Loa lately — more wins on the board than Al Nairea.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Al Loa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al Loa Clean Sheet 18%
Al Nairea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Loa Al Nairea
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.21 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Division 2
Al Loa vs Al Nairea
1:0
Nov 17, 2025 Division 2
Al Nairea vs Al Loa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Loa 58 / 100
Al Nairea 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Loa Al Nairea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Loa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Loa's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Al Loa remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Al Nairea conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Loa VS Al Nairea
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Loa

(Home)
09 Apr
Ohod
0 : 1
Al Loa
03 Apr
Al Loa
4 : 1
Bisha
27 Mar
Hajer
2 : 2
Al Loa
13 Mar
Al Qalah
2 : 2
Al Loa
06 Mar
Al Loa
4 : 0
Hottain
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Al Nairea

(Away)
07 Apr
Al Nairea
3 : 1
Al Gottah
04 Apr
Al Kawkab
1 : 1
Al Nairea
27 Mar
Al Nairea
3 : 2
Al Qous
13 Mar
Arar
2 : 3
Al Nairea
06 Mar
Al Nairea
0 : 2
Al Saqer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)