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Al Mabarrah vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
11:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Mabarrah host Al Riyadi Abbasiyah in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Al Mabarrah have averaged 0.62 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Al Riyadi Abbasiyah's 1.21 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Mabarrah slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.88 - 2.31) back Al Riyadi Abbasiyah to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Al Mabarrah
15%
Draws
85%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Riyadi Abbasiyah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Riyadi Abbasiyah a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Al Mabarrah Clean Sheet 10%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mabarrah Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.62 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Al Mabarrah
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Al Mabarrah vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mabarrah 10 / 100
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mabarrah Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Al Mabarrah scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Mabarrah VS Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mabarrah

(Home)
13 Oct
Al Ahed
1 : 0
Al Mabarrah
09 Oct
Jwayya SC
3 : 0
Al Mabarrah
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al Mabarrah
29 Jun
Al Mabarrah
0 : 7
Al Ansar
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al Mabarrah
Page 1 of 6

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

(Away)
08 Oct
Safa
2 : 1
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jwayya SC 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Safa 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Nejmeh SC 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
4 Tripoli SC 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
5 Tadamon 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
6 Al Ahed 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Al Ansar 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Al Hikma 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
10 Al Mabarrah 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
11 Al Sahel 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
12 Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)