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Managua FC vs San Marcos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Managua FC host San Marcos in the Liga Primera. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. San Marcos have shipped 1.9 goals a game lately, while Managua FC have conceded 1.06 and scored 2.09. Head-to-head, Managua FC have won 3 to San Marcos's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 1:4. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.00) point toward Managua FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Managua FC
20%
Draws
28%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Managua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Managua FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Managua FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Managua FC Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Managua FC San Marcos
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 20 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.09 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Managua FC
1:4
Mar 3, 2014 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs San Marcos
5:2
Jan 12, 2014 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Managua FC
1:1
Sep 29, 2013 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs San Marcos
2:1
Aug 11, 2013 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Managua FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Managua FC 85 / 100
San Marcos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Managua FC San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Managua FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Managua FC's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

San Marcos has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Solid form: Managua FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Managua FC VS San Marcos
3.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Managua FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Jalapa
0 : 1
Managua FC
03 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 6
Managua FC
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
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San Marcos

(Away)
11 Oct
San Marcos
0 : 2
Sport Sebaco
07 Oct
San Marcos
1 : 2
Diriangen
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 11 9 2 0 34:10 29
2 Diriangen 11 8 2 1 24:11 26
3 Esteli 11 6 3 2 21:8 21
4 UNAN-Managua 11 6 3 2 13:8 21
5 Sport Sebaco 10 4 2 4 11:17 14
6 Walter Ferreti 11 3 2 6 18:20 11
7 San Marcos 11 3 1 7 9:18 10
8 Matagalpa 10 3 0 7 5:20 9
9 Rancho Santana 11 1 3 7 9:21 6
10 Jalapa 11 1 2 8 6:17 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)