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Al Mabarrah vs Tripoli SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Mabarrah host Tripoli SC in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Mabarrah have averaged 0.72 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Tripoli SC's 0.91 scored and 1.15 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Mabarrah have won 1 to Tripoli SC's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 11, 2014, ending 0:3. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 0.88) point toward Tripoli SC. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Al Mabarrah
20%
Draws
80%
Tripoli SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tripoli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Mabarrah haven't matched Tripoli SC's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Tripoli SC taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Al Mabarrah Clean Sheet 20%
Tripoli SC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mabarrah Tripoli SC
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.72 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Premier League
Al Mabarrah vs Tripoli SC
0:3
Nov 2, 2013 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Al Mabarrah
1:2
Mar 17, 2012 Premier League
Al Mabarrah vs Tripoli SC
1:3
Nov 26, 2011 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Al Mabarrah
0:0
Jun 25, 2008 Premier League
Al Mabarrah vs Tripoli SC
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mabarrah 10 / 100
Tripoli SC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mabarrah Tripoli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tripoli SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tripoli SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Al Mabarrah found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Away concern: Tripoli SC has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Mabarrah VS Tripoli SC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mabarrah

(Home)
09 Oct
Jwayya SC
3 : 0
Al Mabarrah
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al Mabarrah
29 Jun
Al Mabarrah
0 : 7
Al Ansar
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al Mabarrah
21 Jun
Nejmeh SC
5 : 0
Al Mabarrah
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Tripoli SC

(Away)
09 Oct
Tripoli SC
1 : 1
Al Ahed
05 Jul
Al Ahed
:
Tripoli SC
23 May
Al Ghazieh
0 : 0
Tripoli SC
17 May
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Tripoli SC
09 May
Tadamon
0 : 1
Tripoli SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jwayya SC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Nejmeh SC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Al Ansar 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Safa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Tadamon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Al Ahed 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Tripoli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Hikma 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 Al Sahel 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
11 Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
12 Al Mabarrah 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)