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Al Madina vs Al Qadisiyah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026 Solyman AL Darrat, Tripoli
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AI Match Summary

Al Madina in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Madina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Madina
20%
Draws
51%
Al Qadisiyah
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Qadisiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Al Madina have won more games recently than Al Qadisiyah.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Al Madina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Al Madina Clean Sheet 20%
Al Qadisiyah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Madina Al Qadisiyah
Matches Played 28 18
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.21 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Premier League
Al Qadisiyah vs Al Madina
0:2
Jan 21, 2026 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Qadisiyah
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Madina 36 / 100
Al Qadisiyah 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Madina Al Qadisiyah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Madina's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Al Qadisiyah has conceded goals in 61% of their last 18 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Al Madina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Madina VS Al Qadisiyah
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Madina

(Home)
24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3
Asswehly
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
06 May
Al Madina
3 : 2
Olympic Azzaweya
Page 1 of 6

Al Qadisiyah

(Away)
23 Apr
Al Watan
4 : 3
Al Qadisiyah
18 Apr
Al Qadisiyah
1 : 0
Assabah
13 Apr
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 0
Al Qadisiyah
09 Apr
Al Qadisiyah
0 : 2
Al Madina
15 Mar
Al Dahra
2 : 3
Al Qadisiyah
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)