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Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Abu Salim

Libya Libya

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Mahalla Tripoli play Abu Salim in the Premier League 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Mahalla Tripoli averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Abu Salim averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Al Mahalla Tripoli won 0, Abu Salim won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Mar 12, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Al Mahalla Tripoli and 1.30 for Abu Salim. This points to a Abu Salim double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Al Mahalla Tripoli
35%
Draws
33%
Abu Salim
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Abu Salim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Mahalla Tripoli picked up more points recently compared to Abu Salim.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Al Mahalla Tripoli Clean Sheet 19%
Abu Salim Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mahalla Tripoli Abu Salim
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 6 9
Draws 13 11
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Premier League
Abu Salim vs Al Mahalla Tripoli
0:0
Nov 12, 2022 Premier League
Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Abu Salim
1:1
Mar 3, 2022 Premier League
Abu Salim vs Al Mahalla Tripoli
1:1
Dec 7, 2021 Premier League
Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Abu Salim
0:0
Jul 6, 2021 Premier League
Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Abu Salim
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mahalla Tripoli 33 / 100
Abu Salim 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mahalla Tripoli Abu Salim

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Abu Salim or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Mahalla Tripoli attacking → ← attacking Abu Salim

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mahalla Tripoli scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Abu Salim let in goals in 79% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Al Mahalla Tripoli went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Abu Salim lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 38
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ahly Benghazi1889126:1633
2Al Nasr1879220:1530
3Al Hilal Benghazi1885523:1629
4Al Akhdar1875623:1926
5Darnes1876520:1724
6Al Taawun1859421:2124
7Al Sadaqa18411316:1823
8Al-Suqoor1848617:2220
9Al Tahaddi1828812:2014
10Shabaab Al Jabal18141310:244
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Ittihad18115218:635
2Al Ahly Tripoli1888224:1132
3Abu Salim1888216:832
4Olympic Azzaweya1867523:1725
5Asswehly1866619:1924
6Asaria18210616:2716
7Al-Khmes1846811:1815
8Al Madina18310515:1913
9Al Ittihad Misurata1829712:1612
10Al Mahalla Tripoli1819811:246