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Al Mahdia vs Al Murooj SC

Libya Libya

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Alhouta A.
Assist: Al Amami A.
54' Event
Tareq J.
90' Event
Wilfried G.
Assist: Manziba G.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Al Mahdia and Al Murooj SC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Mahdia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Mahdia
30%
Draws
34%
Al Murooj SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Mahdia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Murooj SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Mahdia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Mahdia Clean Sheet 18%
Al Murooj SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mahdia Al Murooj SC
Matches Played 14 32
Wins 1 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2025 Premier League
Al Murooj SC vs Al Mahdia
1:0
Jan 5, 2025 Premier League
Al Mahdia vs Al Murooj SC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Mahdia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tareq J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wilfried G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Al Murooj SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Alhouta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mahdia 36 / 100
Al Murooj SC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mahdia Al Murooj SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Murooj SC let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Al Murooj SC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Al Mahdia scored in 29% of their last 14 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Murooj SC
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mahdia

(Home)
07 Apr
Al Taawun
0 : 0
Al Mahdia
10 Mar
Al Mahdia
0 : 1
Al Sadaqa
28 Feb
Al Murooj SC
1 : 0
Al Mahdia
22 Feb
Al Mahdia
0 : 4
Al Ahly Benghazi
16 Feb
Al-Andalus
2 : 0
Al Mahdia
Page 1 of 3

Al Murooj SC

(Away)
22 Apr
Al-Afreeki
5 : 0
Al Murooj SC
16 Apr
Al Murooj SC
3 : 0
Al-Andalus
11 Apr
Al Tahaddi
3 : 1
Al Murooj SC
12 Mar
Al Murooj SC
0 : 1
Wefaq Ajdabiya
06 Mar
Al Murooj SC
0 : 1
Al Akhdar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nasr1695220:932
2Al Akhdar1694325:1131
3Al Tahaddi1667320:1425
4Khaleej Sirte1655617:1919
5Al-Suqoor1654716:2019
6Al-Anwar1654718:2619
7Al Borouq1639414:1518
8Al Ansar16421015:2614
9Wefaq Ajdabiya164489:1413
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Benghazi14111231:634
2Al Hilal Benghazi14111230:1234
3Al Sadaqa1473416:1324
4Al Taawun1464419:1422
5Al-Andalus1453617:1818
6Al Murooj SC1433814:2512
7Al Branes14221011:288
8Al Mahdia1413108:306
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Asswehly16124036:1240
2Olympic Azzaweya16114128:1337
3Al-Ittihad1684424:1028
4Al-Majd1663725:2921
5Shabab Al-Ghar1648418:1820
6Abu Salim1662820:2420
7Al Bashaer1645719:2117
8Al Tirsana1636722:2215
9Al Nahda1600165:48-3
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Tripoli16133038:442
2Al Madina16104227:1434
3Al Ittihad Misurata1665514:1423
4Al Watan1655619:2219
5Al Malaab El Libby1639413:1518
6Al-Khmes16511011:2016
7Abi Al Ashar1636710:1815
8Al Dahra1636711:2215
9Asaria16331013:2712
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)