Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Markhiya vs Al Bidda

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2025/2026 Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha
Al Markhiya Logo

Al Markhiya

2 - 2
FT
Al Bidda Logo

Al Bidda

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Tiku A.
Assist: Meherzi A.
50' Event
Tiku A.
Assist: Tawfiq M.
72' Event
Lucao
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Al Markhiya and Al Bidda finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Markhiya
15%
Draws
39%
Al Bidda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Markhiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Markhiya come out ahead of Al Bidda on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Markhiya's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 68%
Al Bidda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Markhiya Al Bidda
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al Bidda
2:2
Aug 26, 2025 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Al Markhiya
0:3
Mar 5, 2025 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al Bidda
2:0
Nov 7, 2024 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Al Markhiya
1:4
Mar 4, 2024 QFA Cup
Al Bidda vs Al Markhiya
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Markhiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucao
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Al Bidda Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiku A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Markhiya 86 / 100
Al Bidda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Markhiya Al Bidda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Markhiya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Markhiya scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Al Bidda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Al Markhiya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Markhiya VS Al Bidda
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Markhiya

(Home)
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2
Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
31 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Thaid
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Al Bidda

(Away)
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
08 Sept
Shamal 2
0 : 3
Al Bidda
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
23 Aug
Al Bidda
1 : 1
Al-Gharafa 2
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusail 14 9 2 3 28:14 29
2 Al-Kharitiyath 14 7 4 3 23:11 25
3 Al Markhiya 14 6 5 3 24:18 23
4 Muaither SC 14 6 3 5 26:28 21
5 Al Mesaimeer 14 5 2 7 19:21 17
6 Al Khor 14 4 5 5 21:25 17
7 Al-Waab 14 3 3 8 15:25 12
8 Al Bidda 14 3 2 9 13:27 11
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)