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Stadium Background

Al Markhiya vs Al Bidda

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2025/2026 Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Tiku A.
Assist: Meherzi A.
50' Event
Tiku A.
Assist: Tawfiq M.
72' Event
Lucao

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Al Markhiya and Al Bidda finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Markhiya
6%
Draws
4%
Al Bidda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Markhiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Markhiya come out ahead of Al Bidda on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Markhiya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 68%
Al Bidda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Markhiya Al Bidda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al Bidda
2:2
Aug 26, 2025 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Al Markhiya
0:3
Mar 5, 2025 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al Bidda
2:0
Nov 7, 2024 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Al Markhiya
1:4
Mar 4, 2024 QFA Cup
Al Bidda vs Al Markhiya
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Markhiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucao
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Bidda Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiku A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Markhiya 95 / 100
Al Bidda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Markhiya Al Bidda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Bidda has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Al Markhiya's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Markhiya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Markhiya VS Al Bidda
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Markhiya

(Home)
30 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Raed
30 Apr
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Al Markhiya
05 Apr
Al Markhiya
3 : 4
Muaither SC
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Al Bidda

(Away)
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 1
Al Bidda
18 Apr
Al Bidda
3 : 4
Muaither SC
05 Apr
Al Bidda
0 : 2
Al-Waab
24 Mar
Umm-Salal
2 : 0
Al Bidda
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lusail1492328:1429
2Al-Kharitiyath1474323:1125
3Al Markhiya1465324:1823
4Muaither SC1463526:2821
5Al Mesaimeer1452719:2117
6Al Khor1445521:2517
7Al-Waab1433815:2512
8Al Bidda1432913:2711
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)