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Al Masry vs Abu Qir Semad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Masry host Abu Qir Semad in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Al Masry at 1.17 goals for, 1.07 against; Abu Qir Semad at 0.79 for, 1 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 0.88, favoring Al Masry. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Al Masry
15%
Draws
12%
Abu Qir Semad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Masry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Al Masry have won more games recently than Abu Qir Semad.
  • Al Masry are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Al Masry Clean Sheet 20%
Abu Qir Semad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Masry Abu Qir Semad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.17 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Masry 76 / 100
Abu Qir Semad 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Masry Abu Qir Semad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Masry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Masry scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Abu Qir Semad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Abu Qir Semad lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Masry went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Masry VS Abu Qir Semad
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Masry

(Home)
07 Oct
Ceramica Cleopatra
0 : 1
Al Masry
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Petrojet
2 : 1
Al Masry
31 Aug
Al Masry
0 : 1
Pyramids
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
Page 1 of 6

Abu Qir Semad

(Away)
08 Oct
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 1
Abu Qir Semad
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
27 Aug
Pyramids
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Zamalek 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
5 Modern Sport 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
9 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 ZED FC 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
11 Al Qanah 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Al Masry 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
13 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
16 Smouha 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)