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Al Mergheni vs Al Shorta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Mergheni in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Mergheni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Mergheni
35%
Draws
36%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Shorta lately — more wins on the board than Al Mergheni.
  • Al Shorta are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al Mergheni Clean Sheet 19%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mergheni Al Shorta
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 10
Draws 14 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.76 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Al Mergheni
0:0
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Al Mergheni vs Al Shorta
0:0
Feb 18, 2025 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Al Mergheni
1:1
Jan 27, 2025 Premier League
Al Mergheni vs Al Shorta
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mergheni 28 / 100
Al Shorta 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mergheni Al Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shorta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shorta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Mergheni stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Al Mergheni found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 0.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Mergheni VS Al Shorta
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mergheni

(Home)
14 Feb
Al Mergheni
1 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
11 Feb
Al Mergheni
1 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman II
07 Feb
Kober
0 : 0
Al Mergheni
02 Feb
Al Taqadom
2 : 2
Al Mergheni
28 Jan
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Mergheni
Page 1 of 6

Al Shorta

(Away)
14 Feb
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Kober
11 Feb
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
07 Feb
Al Shorta
2 : 2
Al Taqadom
04 Feb
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman II
28 Jan
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Mergheni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Mergheni 8 3 4 1 9:6 13
2 Hilal Alsahil 8 2 6 0 7:5 12
3 Al Shorta 8 2 3 3 8:8 9
4 Al Hilal Manaqil 8 2 3 3 8:7 9
5 Hay al Arab 8 2 2 4 8:14 8
6 Wad Nobawi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Merreikh Obeid 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
2 Zamala Ruwaba 10 4 5 1 16:11 17
3 Rabita Kosti 10 3 5 2 8:9 14
4 Hilal El-Fasher 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
5 Haidob Al Nuhod 10 3 3 4 10:13 12
6 Merikh Nyala 10 1 3 6 9:16 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hay Al Wadi 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
2 Umm Mughad 6 1 5 0 5:4 8
3 Al Ahly Merowe 6 1 3 2 2:3 6
4 Kober 6 1 1 4 3:6 4
5 Al Zoma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Tuti 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madani 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
2 Alamal SC Atbara 8 3 5 0 11:7 14
3 Ahli Khartoum 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
4 Alfalah Atbra 8 2 3 3 7:9 9
5 Ahli Shendi 8 1 2 5 2:7 5
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)