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Al-Mergheni vs Al Taqadom

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Taqadom in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Taqadom.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al-Mergheni
35%
Draws
28%
Al Taqadom
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al-Mergheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Mergheni lately — more wins on the board than Al Taqadom.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al-Mergheni Clean Sheet 20%
Al Taqadom Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Mergheni Al Taqadom
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 4 2
Draws 14 5
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 0.76 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Taqadom vs Al-Mergheni
2:2
Jan 10, 2026 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Al Taqadom
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Mergheni 31 / 100
Al Taqadom 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Mergheni Al Taqadom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Mergheni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Taqadom has conceded goals in 70% of their last 10 outings.

Al-Mergheni went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al-Mergheni's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Mergheni VS Al Taqadom
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Mergheni

(Home)
14 Feb
Al-Mergheni
1 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
11 Feb
Al-Mergheni
1 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
07 Feb
Kober
0 : 0
Al-Mergheni
02 Feb
Al Taqadom
2 : 2
Al-Mergheni
28 Jan
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al-Mergheni
Page 1 of 6

Al Taqadom

(Away)
15 Feb
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
4 : 1
Al Taqadom
10 Feb
Kober
1 : 0
Al Taqadom
07 Feb
Al Shorta
2 : 2
Al Taqadom
02 Feb
Al Taqadom
2 : 2
Al-Mergheni
29 Jan
Al Taqadom
0 : 0
Hilal Alsahil
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman II 10 6 4 0 17:5 22
2 Hilal Alsahil 10 5 4 1 13:6 19
3 Al Shorta 10 3 4 3 8:6 13
4 Al Taqadom 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Al-Mergheni 10 0 7 3 9:14 7
6 Kober 10 1 2 7 3:17 5
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madani 10 10 0 0 24:6 30
2 Umm Mughad 10 5 3 2 18:8 18
3 Al Hilal Manaqil 10 3 5 2 10:7 14
4 Rabita Kosti 10 3 1 6 7:14 10
5 Ahli Khartoum 10 1 3 6 7:21 6
6 Merikh Kosti 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Merreikh II 10 6 4 0 15:7 22
2 Alfalah Atbra 10 3 4 3 5:4 13
3 Al Saham Ad Damer 10 2 6 2 10:9 12
4 Al Hilal Karima 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
5 Alamal SC Atbara 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
6 Al-Ahly Merowe 10 1 6 3 6:8 9
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilal El-Fasher 10 5 4 1 11:7 19
2 Hay Al Wadi 10 4 3 3 14:13 15
3 Haidob Al Nuhod 10 4 3 3 13:8 15
4 Al Fajr 10 3 3 4 16:18 12
5 Zamala Ruwaba 10 3 2 5 11:13 11
6 Al-Merreikh Obeid 10 3 1 6 14:20 10
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)