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Al-Mergheni vs Al Taqadom

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

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AI Match Summary

Al-Mergheni host Al Taqadom in the Premier League. Al-Mergheni go into this one as the clear favorite. Al-Mergheni have averaged 0.75 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Al Taqadom's 1.38 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Taqadom slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 2, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Al-Mergheni to edge this. Al-Mergheni in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al-Mergheni
39%
Draws
31%
Al Taqadom
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Mergheni has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Taqadom.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Al-Mergheni Clean Sheet 20%
Al Taqadom Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Mergheni Al Taqadom
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 4 2
Draws 14 5
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Taqadom vs Al-Mergheni
2:2
Jan 10, 2026 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Al Taqadom
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Mergheni 31 / 100
Al Taqadom 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Mergheni Al Taqadom

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Mergheni scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Al Taqadom let in goals in 70% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Al-Mergheni went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Taqadom lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Mergheni VS Al Taqadom
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010