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Al-Mergheni vs Al Taqadom

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Taqadom in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Taqadom.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al-Mergheni
39%
Draws
31%
Al Taqadom
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Mergheni lately — more wins on the board than Al Taqadom.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al-Mergheni Clean Sheet 20%
Al Taqadom Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Mergheni Al Taqadom
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 4 2
Draws 14 5
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Taqadom vs Al-Mergheni
2:2
Jan 10, 2026 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Al Taqadom
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Mergheni 31 / 100
Al Taqadom 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Mergheni Al Taqadom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Taqadom has conceded goals in 70% of their last 10 outings.

Al-Mergheni went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al-Mergheni's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Mergheni VS Al Taqadom
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010