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Al Mergheni vs Hay Al Wadi

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Mergheni
35%
Draws
36%
Hay Al Wadi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hay Al Wadi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hay Al Wadi lately — more wins on the board than Al Mergheni.
  • Win probability leans Al Mergheni's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al Mergheni Clean Sheet 20%
Hay Al Wadi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mergheni Hay Al Wadi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 14 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2025 Premier League
Al Mergheni vs Hay Al Wadi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mergheni 49 / 100
Hay Al Wadi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mergheni Hay Al Wadi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Mergheni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hay Al Wadi let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Mergheni stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Al Mergheni's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al-Mergheni VS Hay Al Wadi
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mergheni

(Home)
14 Feb
Al-Mergheni
1 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
11 Feb
Al-Mergheni
1 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
07 Feb
Kober
0 : 0
Al-Mergheni
02 Feb
Al Taqadom
2 : 2
Al-Mergheni
28 Jan
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al-Mergheni
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Hay Al Wadi

(Away)
09 Jun
Hilal El-Fasher
0 : 0
Hay Al Wadi
06 Jun
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 3
Hay Al Wadi
01 Jun
Al-Merreikh II
4 : 0
Hay Al Wadi
29 May
Madani
3 : 3
Hay Al Wadi
23 May
Hay Al Wadi
0 : 2
Hilal Alsahil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman 7 4 2 1 15:4 14
2 Al Merreikh 7 4 2 1 7:5 14
3 Madani 7 4 2 1 8:2 14
4 Zamala Ruwaba 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
5 Alamal SC Atbara 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Hay Al Wadi 7 1 4 2 5:8 7
7 Al Mergheni 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
8 Al Merreikh Obeid 7 0 1 6 2:15 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)