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Al-Mergheni vs Hay Al Wadi

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al-Mergheni
28%
Draws
22%
Hay Al Wadi
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al-Mergheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hay Al Wadi lately — more wins on the board than Al-Mergheni.
  • Win probability leans Al-Mergheni's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al-Mergheni Clean Sheet 20%
Hay Al Wadi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Mergheni Hay Al Wadi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 14 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2025 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Hay Al Wadi
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Mergheni 49 / 100
Hay Al Wadi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Mergheni Hay Al Wadi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hay Al Wadi let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Al-Mergheni stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Al-Mergheni's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al-Mergheni VS Hay Al Wadi
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman742115:414
2Al-Merreikh74217:514
3Madani74218:214
4Zamala Ruwaba73227:511
5Alamal SC Atbara72237:78
6Hay Al Wadi71425:87
7Al-Mergheni71334:96
8Al-Merreikh Obeid70162:151