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Al-Merreikh II vs Alfalah Atbra

Sudan Sudan

Premier League Al Merreikh Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Merreikh II and Alfalah Atbra finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Merreikh II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Merreikh II
6%
Draws
4%
Alfalah Atbra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Merreikh II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alfalah Atbra haven't matched Al-Merreikh II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al-Merreikh II a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al-Merreikh II have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Al-Merreikh II Clean Sheet 20%
Alfalah Atbra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Merreikh II Alfalah Atbra
Matches Played 17 27
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 9
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 2.63 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh II vs Alfalah Atbra
6:0
Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Alfalah Atbra vs Al-Merreikh II
0:1
Jan 19, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh II vs Alfalah Atbra
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Merreikh II 85 / 100
Alfalah Atbra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Merreikh II Alfalah Atbra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Alfalah Atbra has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Al-Merreikh II found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (17 games).

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al-Merreikh II remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Merreikh II VS Alfalah Atbra
2.63 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II770016:121
2Al-Merreikh II760121:418
3Hilal Alsahil732210:611
4Madani732213:1111
5Umm Mughad730410:159
6Hilal El-Fasher71244:75
7Hay Al Wadi71246:145
8Alfalah Atbra70072:240