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Stadium Background

Al-Merreikh II vs Alamal SC Atbara

Sudan Sudan

Premier League Al Merreikh Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Merreikh II and Alamal SC Atbara finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Merreikh II
6%
Draws
4%
Alamal SC Atbara
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Merreikh II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Merreikh II come out ahead of Alamal SC Atbara on wins alone.
  • Al-Merreikh II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al-Merreikh II Clean Sheet 20%
Alamal SC Atbara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Merreikh II Alamal SC Atbara
Matches Played 17 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh II vs Alamal SC Atbara
1:1
Jan 23, 2026 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Al-Merreikh II
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Merreikh II 85 / 100
Alamal SC Atbara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Merreikh II Alamal SC Atbara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Merreikh II's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Defensive concern: Alamal SC Atbara conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Al-Merreikh II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Merreikh II VS Alamal SC Atbara
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010