Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Merreikh II vs Alfalah Atbra

Sudan Sudan

Premier League Al Merreikh Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Merreikh II
6%
Draws
4%
Alfalah Atbra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Merreikh II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Merreikh II lately — more wins on the board than Alfalah Atbra.
  • Model gives Al-Merreikh II a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al-Merreikh II have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Al-Merreikh II Clean Sheet 20%
Alfalah Atbra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Merreikh II Alfalah Atbra
Matches Played 17 27
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 9
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 2.63 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh II vs Alfalah Atbra
6:0
Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Alfalah Atbra vs Al-Merreikh II
0:1
Jan 19, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh II vs Alfalah Atbra
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Merreikh II 85 / 100
Alfalah Atbra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Merreikh II Alfalah Atbra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Alfalah Atbra registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Al-Merreikh II's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al-Merreikh II remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Merreikh II VS Alfalah Atbra
2.63 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010