Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Merreikh Obeid vs Madani

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Madani in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Madani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al-Merreikh Obeid
6%
Draws
90%
Madani
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Madani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Madani have won more games recently than Al-Merreikh Obeid.
  • Madani are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Al-Merreikh Obeid Clean Sheet 20%
Madani Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Merreikh Obeid Madani
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 9 18
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.83 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.67 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 Premier League
Al-Merreikh Obeid vs Madani
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Merreikh Obeid 10 / 100
Madani 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Merreikh Obeid Madani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Merreikh Obeid's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Madani conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Madani lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Merreikh Obeid VS Madani
0.83 Goals Scored 2.25
2.67 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Merreikh Obeid

(Home)
13 Feb
Hay Al Wadi
3 : 2
Al-Merreikh Obeid
08 Feb
Haidob Al Nuhod
4 : 0
Al-Merreikh Obeid
05 Feb
Al-Merreikh Obeid
1 : 3
Hilal El-Fasher
31 Jan
Zamala Ruwaba
1 : 0
Al-Merreikh Obeid
27 Jan
Al Fajr
3 : 0
Al-Merreikh Obeid
Page 1 of 6

Madani

(Away)
09 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 2
Madani
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1
Umm Mughad
02 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
2 : 0
Madani
29 May
Madani
3 : 3
Hay Al Wadi
24 May
Madani
2 : 0
Alfalah Atbra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman742115:414
2Al-Merreikh74217:514
3Madani74218:214
4Zamala Ruwaba73227:511
5Alamal SC Atbara72237:78
6Hay Al Wadi71425:87
7Al-Mergheni71334:96
8Al-Merreikh Obeid70162:151
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)