Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Merreikh vs Al-Hilal Omdurman

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League Al Merreikh Stadium, Omdurman
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al-Merreikh
40%
Draws
29%
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Hilal Omdurman lately — more wins on the board than Al-Merreikh.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Merreikh Al-Hilal Omdurman
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
1:1
Feb 17, 2026 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Al-Merreikh
1:2
Jul 22, 2025 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Al-Merreikh
4:0
Feb 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Al-Merreikh
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Al-Merreikh vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Merreikh 32 / 100
Al-Hilal Omdurman 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Merreikh Al-Hilal Omdurman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al-Hilal Omdurman conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Al-Merreikh's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Al-Merreikh has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Merreikh VS Al-Hilal Omdurman
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Merreikh

(Home)
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
17 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Al-Merreikh
10 May
Al-Merreikh
0 : 1
Kiyovu
Page 1 of 7

Al-Hilal Omdurman

(Away)
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
16 May
Police
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
10 May
Muhanga
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)