Sport Picks
Al-Merreikh vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
Rwanda
Premier League 2025/2026 Al Merreikh Stadium, Omdurman 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Hilal Omdurman
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al-Hilal Omdurman lately — more wins on the board than Al-Merreikh.
- Win probability leans Al-Hilal Omdurman's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Merreikh | Al-Hilal Omdurman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 12 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 22, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
1:1
Feb 17, 2026 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Al-Merreikh
1:2
Jul 22, 2025 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Al-Merreikh
4:0
Feb 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Al-Merreikh
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Al-Merreikh vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Merreikh 24 / 100
Al-Hilal Omdurman 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Merreikh Al-Hilal Omdurman
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al-Hilal Omdurman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Merreikh found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Al-Hilal Omdurman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Al-Merreikh has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al-Merreikh VS Al-Hilal Omdurman
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Merreikh
(Home) 18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0 Al-Merreikh
12 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1 Al-Merreikh
05 Sept
Al-Merreikh
1 : 0 Power Dynamos
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1 Al-Merreikh
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2 APR
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05 Sept
Al-Merreikh
1 : 0 Power Dynamos
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2 APR
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
10 May
Al-Merreikh
0 : 1 Kiyovu
07 May
Al-Merreikh
4 : 1 Etincelles
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Al-Hilal Omdurman
(Away) 16 Sept
Kigali FC
0 : 2 Al-Hilal Omdurman
12 Sept
Al-Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0 Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2 Al-Hilal Omdurman
07 Aug
Jamus
1 : 2 Al-Hilal Omdurman
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Kigali FC
0 : 2 Al-Hilal Omdurman
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2 Al-Hilal Omdurman
07 Aug
Jamus
1 : 2 Al-Hilal Omdurman
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
29 Jul
KVZ
0 : 4 Al-Hilal Omdurman
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74:25 | 75 |
| 2 | APR | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41:24 | 59 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40:30 | 56 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 34:21 | 53 |
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29:19 | 52 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Marines | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 45 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Musanze | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:37 | 43 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:42 | 40 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:54 | 38 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Kigali FC | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 27:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Gasogi United | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:44 | 35 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19:38 | 35 |
| 17 | Muhanga | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 25:46 | 31 |
| 18 | Rutsiro | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 30:47 | 29 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
