Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Merreikh vs Al Shorta

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2022/2023 Al Merreikh Stadium
Wed, Apr 26, 2023
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Merreikh play Al Shorta in the Premier League 2022/2023. Al Shorta are favorites here. Recently, Al-Merreikh averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.74 conceded. Al Shorta averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Al-Merreikh won 4, Al Shorta won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 26, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al-Merreikh and 1.00 for Al Shorta. This points to a Al Shorta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Al-Merreikh
25%
Draws
60%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Merreikh picked up more points recently compared to Al Shorta.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 23%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Merreikh Al Shorta
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2023 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Al Shorta
0:0
Nov 25, 2022 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Al-Merreikh
0:1
Jul 19, 2022 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Al-Merreikh
0:2
Mar 22, 2022 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Al Shorta
1:0
Jul 17, 2021 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Al-Merreikh
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Merreikh 18 / 100
Al Shorta 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Merreikh Al Shorta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shorta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Al Shorta & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al-Merreikh attacking → ← attacking Al Shorta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Merreikh scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Al Shorta let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Al-Merreikh went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Shorta lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 39
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman20172155:1253
2Al-Merreikh19153133:848
3Hay al-Arab26146639:2648
4Haidob Al Nuhod28136932:2645
5Ahli Khartoum28109935:2939
6Hilal El-Fasher291081131:3138
7Hay Al Wadi24108629:2738
8Alamal SC Atbara261051124:2835
9Al Shorta271051228:3435
10Kober29981232:3735
11Hilal Alsahil26810825:2834
12Wad Nobawi27614720:2432
13Alfalah Atbra25611821:1929
14Ahli Shendi26771214:2628
15Tuti27761426:3827
16Al-Ahly Merowe274131019:3625
17Al Zoma284101422:4022
18Rabita Kosti26571416:3222