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Al-Merreikh vs Kiyovu Prediction & H2H Stats

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Premier League 2025/2026 Al Merreikh Stadium, Omdurman
Al-Merreikh Logo

Al-Merreikh

0 - 1
FT
Kiyovu Logo

Kiyovu

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al-Merreikh and Kiyovu finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiyovu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al-Merreikh
15%
Draws
48%
Kiyovu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kiyovu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Al-Merreikh haven't matched Kiyovu's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al-Merreikh a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 20%
Kiyovu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Merreikh Kiyovu
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 12 10
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.18 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Kiyovu
0:1
Nov 24, 2025 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Al-Merreikh
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Merreikh 36 / 100
Kiyovu 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Merreikh Kiyovu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Merreikh scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Al-Merreikh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kiyovu has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Merreikh VS Kiyovu
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Merreikh

(Home)
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0
Al-Merreikh
12 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Al-Merreikh
05 Sept
Al-Merreikh
1 : 0
Power Dynamos
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
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Kiyovu

(Away)
15 Sept
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Bugesera
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
27 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Mukura Victory Sports
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)