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Al Mesaimeer vs Al Gharafa 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Mesaimeer host Al Gharafa 2 in the QSL 2. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Al Mesaimeer have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Al Gharafa 2's 1.97 scored and 2.23 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Mesaimeer have won 3 to Al Gharafa 2's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 25, 2016, ending 2:4. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.94, favoring Al Mesaimeer. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Mesaimeer
20%
Draws
40%
Al Gharafa 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Al Gharafa 2's 1.97 goals per match outpaces what Al Mesaimeer have produced (1.5).
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Al Mesaimeer taking it.
  • Regular QSL 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Mesaimeer have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 20%
Al Gharafa 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mesaimeer Al Gharafa 2
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2016 QSL 2
Al Gharafa 2 vs Al Mesaimeer
2:4
Dec 21, 2014 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Al Gharafa 2
5:3
Dec 7, 2013 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Al Gharafa 2
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mesaimeer 67 / 100
Al Gharafa 2 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mesaimeer Al Gharafa 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Mesaimeer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Mesaimeer scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Al Gharafa 2 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 5.67 goals as a typical output.

Al Gharafa 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Mesaimeer VS Al Gharafa 2
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mesaimeer

(Home)
01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2
Al Mesaimeer
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1
Al Waab
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
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Al Gharafa 2

(Away)
07 Sept
Al Gharafa 2
0 : 1
Muaither SC
30 Aug
Al Gharafa 2
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Bidda
1 : 1
Al Gharafa 2
04 Mar
Umm-Salal 2
1 : 2
Al Gharafa 2
03 Apr
Al Gharafa 2
1 : 6
Al Markhiya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Markhiya 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Al Bidda 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Al Waab 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Muaither SC 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 Al Kharitiyath 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
6 Al Mesaimeer 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
7 Umm-Salal 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
8 Al Khor 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
9 Qatar U23 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
10 Al Gharafa 2 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
11 Shamal 2 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
12 Al Rayyan 2 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - QSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - QSL (Relegation)