Sport Picks
Al Mesaimeer vs Shamal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Qatar
QSL Cup 2025/2026 
Match Events
38'
38'
Bounedjah B.
84'
84'
Thiam I.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shamal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Shamal come out ahead of Al Mesaimeer on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Shamal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Shamal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 10%
Shamal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Mesaimeer | Shamal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 5, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Mesaimeer vs Shamal
1:1
Apr 5, 2021 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Shamal
1:2
Feb 2, 2021 QSL 2
Shamal vs Al Mesaimeer
1:1
Nov 30, 2020 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Shamal
2:1
Aug 18, 2020 QSL 2
Shamal vs Al Mesaimeer
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Mesaimeer Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Shamal Compare
Top Goalscorer Bounedjah B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Mesaimeer 30 / 100
Shamal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Mesaimeer Shamal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shamal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Mesaimeer's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Shamal conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Al Mesaimeer has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Mesaimeer VS Shamal
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Mesaimeer
(Home) 01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2 Al Mesaimeer
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1 Al Waab
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1 Al Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2 Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0 Muaither SC
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1 Al Waab
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1 Al Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2 Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0 Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3 Muaither SC
Page 1 of 3
Shamal
(Away) 08 Oct
Shamal
0 : 4 Al Duhail
01 Oct
Shamal
2 : 1 Muaither SC
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4 Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Wakra
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4 Shamal
27 Aug
Al Gharafa
1 : 3 Shamal
21 Aug
Al Arabi (Qatar)
2 : 2 Shamal
27 Apr
Al Sadd
3 : 2 Shamal
08 Apr
Al Shahaniya
2 : 0 Shamal
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Rayyan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Umm-Salal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Muaither SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27:16 | 19 |
| 5 | Al Waab | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Markhiya | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Sailiya | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Al Shahaniya | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Shamal | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Bidda | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Khor | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Mesaimeer | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Qatar SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Al Kharitiyath | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Ahli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Al Duhail | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Lusail | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Wakra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 6 |
| 19 | Al Gharafa | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:22 | 5 |
| 20 | Al Sadd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18:31 | 5 |
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
