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Al Mesaimeer vs Shamal

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Bounedjah B.
84' Event
Thiam I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Mesaimeer
20%
Draws
38%
Shamal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Mesaimeer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shamal come out ahead of Al Mesaimeer on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Mesaimeer's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Shamal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shamal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 16%
Shamal Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mesaimeer Shamal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Mesaimeer vs Shamal
1:1
Apr 5, 2021 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Shamal
1:2
Feb 2, 2021 QSL 2
Shamal vs Al Mesaimeer
1:1
Nov 30, 2020 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Shamal
2:1
Aug 18, 2020 QSL 2
Shamal vs Al Mesaimeer
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Mesaimeer Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Bounedjah B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mesaimeer 41 / 100
Shamal 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mesaimeer Shamal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mesaimeer's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Shamal conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Shamal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Mesaimeer VS Shamal
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mesaimeer

(Home)
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3
Muaither SC
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0
Al-Waab
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
05 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
15 Mar
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0
Al Bidda
Page 1 of 6

Shamal

(Away)
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6
Al-Sadd
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2
Shamal
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0
Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al-Shahaniya
2 : 0
Shamal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 10 8 1 1 32:17 25
2 Umm-Salal 10 6 2 2 26:17 20
3 Muaither SC 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 10 6 1 3 27:16 19
5 Al-Waab 10 5 3 2 16:11 18
6 Al Markhiya 10 5 3 2 13:12 18
7 Al Sailiya 10 6 0 4 16:17 18
8 Al-Shahaniya 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
9 Shamal 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
10 Al Bidda 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
11 Al Khor 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
12 Al Mesaimeer 10 3 4 3 18:17 13
13 Qatar SC 10 4 1 5 23:23 13
14 Al-Kharitiyath 10 4 1 5 19:20 13
15 Al Ahli 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
16 Al-Duhail 10 2 3 5 4:17 9
17 Lusail 10 1 4 5 15:26 7
18 Al Wakra 10 1 3 6 17:22 6
19 Al-Gharafa 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
20 Al-Sadd 10 1 2 7 18:31 5
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)