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Al Minaa vs Karbala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Minaa host Karbala in the Stars League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Al Minaa at 1.03 goals for, 1.17 against; Karbala at 0.93 for, 1.97 against. Head-to-head, Al Minaa have won 3 to Karbala's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 19, 2025, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.19) point toward Al Minaa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Al Minaa
35%
Draws
13%
Karbala
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Minaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Minaa have won more games recently than Karbala.
  • Al Minaa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 20%
Karbala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Minaa Karbala
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 3
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2025 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Karbala
3:1
Oct 25, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Minaa
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Karbala
1:1
Dec 29, 2023 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Minaa
1:2
Apr 13, 2018 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Karbala
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Minaa 85 / 100
Karbala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Minaa Karbala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Minaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karbala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Al Minaa scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Al Minaa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Minaa VS Karbala
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Minaa

(Home)
05 Nov
Diyala
0 : 0
Al Minaa
29 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 0
Al Minaa
24 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 1
Al Karma
16 Oct
Newroz
2 : 0
Al Minaa
10 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 6

Karbala

(Away)
06 Nov
Newroz
1 : 0
Karbala
30 Oct
Karbala
2 : 2
Al Talaba
23 Oct
Duhok
5 : 2
Karbala
16 Oct
Karbala
1 : 2
Al Gharraf
10 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Karbala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)