Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Minaa vs Naft Missan

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Abdul F.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Al Minaa and Naft Missan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naft Missan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Al Minaa
35%
Draws
46%
Naft Missan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Naft Missan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Naft Missan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Minaa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 68%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Minaa Naft Missan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Naft Missan
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Naft Missan
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Minaa
1:3
Jun 13, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Minaa
2:0
Jan 2, 2025 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Naft Missan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Minaa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Naft Missan Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdul F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Minaa 50 / 100
Naft Missan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Minaa Naft Missan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Minaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Minaa's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Naft Missan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Minaa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Minaa VS Naft Missan
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Minaa

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0
Al Minaa
Page 1 of 6

Naft Missan

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
29 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Naft Missan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)