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Al Minaa vs Zakho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Karim H.
62' Event
Karim H.
69' Event
Samia Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Al Minaa
35%
Draws
46%
Zakho
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zakho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Minaa have won more games recently than Zakho.
  • Al Minaa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Stars League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 20%
Zakho Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Minaa Zakho
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Zakho
2:1
Jun 5, 2026 Iraq Cup
Al Minaa vs Zakho
0:0
May 24, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Zakho
2:2
Feb 1, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Minaa
1:1
Mar 3, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Minaa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Minaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Samia Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulrahim M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Zakho Compare

Top Goalscorer Karim H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Minaa 42 / 100
Zakho 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Minaa Zakho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zakho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Al Minaa found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Minaa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Minaa VS Zakho
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Minaa

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0
Al Minaa
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Zakho

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)