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Al Mosul vs Al Talaba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Al Mukhtar K.
(Penalty)
45'
Kadhim H.
83' Event
Ghazi I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Al Mosul
35%
Draws
56%
Al Talaba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Talaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Mosul haven't matched Al Talaba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Talaba's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Stars League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Al Mosul Clean Sheet 20%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mosul Al Talaba
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 13 12
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.3 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Talaba
2:2
Dec 31, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Mosul
0:0
Feb 22, 2003 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Mosul
3:2
Oct 4, 2002 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Talaba
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mosul 12 / 100
Al Talaba 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mosul Al Talaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Talaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Al Mosul found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Talaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Al Mosul has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Mosul VS Al Talaba
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mosul

(Home)
07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Al Naft
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0
Al Mosul
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

Al Talaba

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Shorta
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)