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Al Mourada vs Ahli Khartoum

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2018/2019 game between Al Mourada and Ahli Khartoum finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Mourada
6%
Draws
4%
Ahli Khartoum
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Mourada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ahli Khartoum carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Mourada's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Al Mourada Clean Sheet 20%
Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mourada Ahli Khartoum
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 17
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2019 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Al Mourada
0:0
Mar 6, 2019 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Ahli Khartoum
0:0
Jan 2, 2019 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Al Mourada
1:1
Sep 3, 2013 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Ahli Khartoum
1:2
Mar 5, 2013 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Al Mourada
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mourada 85 / 100
Ahli Khartoum 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mourada Ahli Khartoum

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahli Khartoum has conceded goals in 63% of their last 41 outings.

Away concern: Ahli Khartoum has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Al Mourada scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ahli Khartoum
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh1495034:1032
2Al-Khartoum1473421:1524
3Hilal El Obied1454520:1719
4Hay Al Wadi1447312:1619
5Al Mourada1454513:1919
6Alamal SC Atbara1452714:2217
7Ahli Khartoum1426613:1512
8Al-Ahly Merowe1415810:238
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman14101331:1031
2Ahli Shendi1484216:628
3Al Shorta1462618:1720
4Merreikh El-Fasher1445516:1517
5Hay al-Arab1444612:1716
6Al Hilal Kadougli1436513:1615
7Wad Hashim Sennar143657:1415
8Rabita Kosti141677:259