Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
51'
51'
58'
58'
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al-Ahli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Al-Muharraq carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Al-Muharraq have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Al-Muharraq, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Al-Muharraq Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Muharraq | Al-Ahli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 33 |
| Wins | 23 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.91 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.69 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Al-Ahli
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 King's Cup
Al-Muharraq vs Al-Ahli
2:1
Jan 15, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ahli vs Al-Muharraq
0:1
Sep 12, 2025 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Al-Ahli
3:0
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Al-Ahli vs Al-Muharraq
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Muharraq 36 / 100
Al-Ahli 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Muharraq Al-Ahli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al-Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al-Muharraq scored in 66% of their last 35 outings.
Defensive concern: Al-Ahli conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Al-Muharraq has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al-Muharraq VS Al-Ahli
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Muharraq
(Home) 04 Sept
Al-Ittifaq
1 : 0 Al-Muharraq
28 Aug
Al-Muharraq
1 : 1 Al-Ahli
06 Aug
ZED FC
1 : 0 Al-Muharraq
16 May
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0 Aali Club
11 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 2 Al-Muharraq
Page 1 of 7
28 Aug
Al-Muharraq
1 : 1 Al-Ahli
16 May
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0 Aali Club
29 Apr
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0 Al-Budaiya
24 Apr
Al-Muharraq
2 : 1 Al Riffa
11 Apr
Al-Muharraq
2 : 1 Al-Ahli
Page 1 of 4
Al-Ahli
(Away) 05 Sept
Al-Hidd
0 : 1 Al-Ahli
28 Aug
Al-Muharraq
1 : 1 Al-Ahli
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2 Al-Ahli
11 May
Al-Ahli
0 : 1 Al-Hidd
05 May
Sitra
0 : 2 Al-Ahli
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Al-Hidd
0 : 1 Al-Ahli
28 Aug
Al-Muharraq
1 : 1 Al-Ahli
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2 Al-Ahli
05 May
Sitra
0 : 2 Al-Ahli
17 Apr
Bahrain SC
1 : 2 Al-Ahli
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Al Khalidiyah -
TBD -
Umm Al Hassam 0
Al-Hala 2
Aali Club -
TBD -
TBD -
Al-Najma -
Bahrain SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Al-Hidd -
East Riffa 1
Manama Club 2
TBD -
Al Riffa -
Al-Muharraq -
TBD -
Isa Town 3
Al Reef 2
Al-Shabbab -
TBD -
TBD -
Malkia -
Al-Budaiya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al-Ahli -
Al-Ittihad 1
Al-Ittifaq 5
TBD -
Sitra -
1/8-finals
Al Khalidiyah 7
Al-Hala 0
Aali Club 2
Al-Najma 0
Bahrain SC 1
Al-Hidd 0
Manama Club 2
Al Riffa 3
Al-Muharraq 6
Isa Town 0
Al-Shabbab 2
Malkia 1
Al-Budaiya 0
Al-Ahli 1
Al-Ittifaq 2
Sitra 0
Quarter-finals
Al Khalidiyah 2
Aali Club 0
Bahrain SC 1
Al Riffa 4
Al-Muharraq 3
Al-Shabbab 0
Al-Ahli 3
Al-Ittifaq 2
Semi-finals
Al Khalidiyah 3
Al Riffa 4
Al-Muharraq 2
Al-Ahli 1
Final
Al Riffa 1
Al-Muharraq 2
