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Al-Muharraq vs Qalali

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Al-Muharraq advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Al-Muharraq
15%
Draws
0%
Qalali
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Muharraq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Muharraq come out ahead of Qalali on wins alone.
  • Al-Muharraq are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Al-Muharraq have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Muharraq, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al-Muharraq here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Al-Muharraq Clean Sheet 68%
Qalali Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Muharraq Qalali
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 22 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.06 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.73 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 8, 2023 King's Cup
Al-Muharraq vs Qalali
1:0
Nov 18, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al-Muharraq vs Qalali
8:0
Jan 27, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Qalali vs Al-Muharraq
2:4
Jan 25, 2020 King's Cup
Al-Muharraq vs Qalali
3:1
Dec 18, 2019 King's Cup
Qalali vs Al-Muharraq
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Muharraq 95 / 100
Qalali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Muharraq Qalali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Muharraq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Qalali registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Qalali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Al-Muharraq scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Muharraq VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Muharraq

(Home)
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
10 Sept
Al-Muharraq
3 : 1
Manama Club
04 Sept
Al-Ittifaq
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
28 Aug
Al-Muharraq
1 : 1
Al-Ahli
06 Aug
ZED FC
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
Page 1 of 7

Qalali

(Away)
24 Jan
Al-Hala
3 : 0
Qalali
17 Jan
Busaiteen
2 : 0
Qalali
13 Jan
Qalali
2 : 7
Al-Ahli
08 Dec
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0
Qalali
18 Nov
Al-Muharraq
8 : 0
Qalali
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Sitra 0
Busaiteen 1
Al-Ahli 4
Umm Al Hassam 0
Manama Club 4
East Riffa 0
Al-Hidd 2
Al-Ittifaq 3
Al-Muharraq 1
Qalali 0
Al Riffa 5
Ali CSC 0
Al Khalidiyah 3
Al-Hala 1
Al-Shabbab 2
Al-Ittihad 3
Quarter-finals
Busaiteen 0
Al-Ahli 1
Manama Club 2
Al-Ittifaq 0
Al-Muharraq 2
Al Riffa 1
Al Khalidiyah 4
Al-Ittihad 0
Semi-finals
Al-Ahli 3
Manama Club 1
Al-Muharraq 1
Al Khalidiyah 0
Final
Al-Ahli 2
Al-Muharraq 1