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Al-Muharraq vs Sitra

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Arthur Rezende
23' Event
Al Malood A.
39' Event
Simoes E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al-Muharraq and Sitra finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Muharraq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Muharraq
6%
Draws
4%
Sitra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Muharraq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Muharraq carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al-Muharraq are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al-Muharraq have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Al-Muharraq Clean Sheet 20%
Sitra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Muharraq Sitra
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 22 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Sitra
3:0
Jan 6, 2026 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Muharraq
0:4
May 1, 2025 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Sitra
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Muharraq
0:2
May 19, 2024 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Sitra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Muharraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur Rezende
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Malood A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sitra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Muharraq 85 / 100
Sitra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Muharraq Sitra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Muharraq has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al-Muharraq's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Sitra has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al-Muharraq VS Sitra
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Muharraq

(Home)
16 May
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0
Aali Club
11 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 2
Al-Muharraq
04 May
Al-Najma
1 : 3
Al-Muharraq
29 Apr
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0
Al-Budaiya
24 Apr
Al-Muharraq
2 : 1
Al Riffa
Page 1 of 7

Sitra

(Away)
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0
Malkia
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
05 May
Sitra
0 : 2
Al-Ahli
27 Apr
Aali Club
0 : 2
Sitra
18 Apr
Sitra
1 : 3
Al Khalidiyah
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al-Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al-Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al-Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al-Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al-Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)