Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Murooj SC vs Al-Afreeki

Libya Libya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Murooj SC and Al-Afreeki finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Afreeki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Murooj SC
33%
Draws
40%
Al-Afreeki
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al-Afreeki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Afreeki haven't matched Al Murooj SC's recent run of results.
  • Al-Afreeki are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Murooj SC Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Afreeki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Murooj SC Al-Afreeki
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Al Murooj SC
5:0
Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Al Murooj SC vs Al-Afreeki
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Murooj SC 28 / 100
Al-Afreeki 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Murooj SC Al-Afreeki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Al-Afreeki has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Al Murooj SC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Al-Afreeki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 19 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Murooj SC VS Al-Afreeki
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Tripoli18152147:947
2Asswehly18134135:943
3Al Madina1884623:2228
4Al Watan1865714:1823
5Assabah1864812:1822
6Al Malaab El Libby1855815:2120
7Al-Khmes1855819:3120
8Al Qadisiyah18621011:2419
9Al Dahra18351020:2714
10Abu Salim18341113:3013
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad16133035:942
2Olympic Azzaweya1694325:1131
3Al Ittihad Misurata1676321:1127
4Al-Majd1665514:1323
5Al Shomooa1664624:1922
6Shabab Al-Ghar1646617:2718
7Al Tirsana1637615:2316
8Ittihad Gharyan16241010:2510
9Abi Al Ashar1613129:326
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Military Union16105126:935
2Al Hilal Benghazi16104220:1134
3Al Ahly Benghazi1696123:633
4Al Taawun1675419:1426
5Darnes1655616:1620
6Al Sadaqa1654716:1719
7Al-Anwar1618712:2311
8Al Borouq1624107:2110
9Al-Suqoor16131213:356
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nasr14112128:735
2Al Akhdar1484216:928
3Al-Afreeki1472529:1823
4Al Tahaddi1456321:1421
5Khaleej Sirte1454525:2219
6Wefaq Ajdabiya1453613:1718
7Al Murooj SC1441916:2413
8Al-Andalus1400141:380