Sport Picks

Libya

Premier League

Al Nasr

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Murooj SC play Al Nasr in the Premier League. Al Nasr are favorites here. Recently, Al Murooj SC averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Al Nasr averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Al Murooj SC won 0, Al Nasr won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.67 for Al Murooj SC and 1.81 for Al Nasr. This points to a Al Nasr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Al Murooj SC

17%

Draws

56%

Al Nasr

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Al Murooj SC picked up more points recently compared to Al Nasr.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.67 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Al Murooj SC Clean Sheet 11%

Al Nasr Clean Sheet 20%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Murooj SC	Al Nasr
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	17
Draws	4	8
Losses	17	5
Goals Scored	1.1	1.6
Goals Conceded	1.57	0.9
Expected Goals (xG)	0.71	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League

Al Murooj SC vs Al Nasr

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Dec 20, 2025 Premier League

Al Nasr vs Al Murooj SC

Possession: 40% - 47% Cards: 0 - 0

3:0

Feb 20, 2024 Premier League

Al Nasr vs Al Murooj SC

Possession: 42% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Nov 26, 2023 Premier League

Al Murooj SC vs Al Nasr

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Murooj SC 27 / 100

Al Nasr 54 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Murooj SC Al Nasr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (2)

Secondary Pick Al Nasr & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Murooj SC attacking → ← attacking Al Nasr

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Murooj SC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Al Nasr let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Al Murooj SC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Nasr lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 59

0.71 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ahly Tripoli	18	15	2	1	47:9	47
2	Asswehly	18	13	4	1	35:9	43
3	Al Madina	18	8	4	6	23:22	28
4	Al Watan	18	6	5	7	14:18	23
5	Assabah	18	6	4	8	12:18	22
6	Al Malaab El Libby	18	5	5	8	15:21	20
7	Al-Khmes	18	5	5	8	19:31	20
8	Al Qadisiyah	18	6	2	10	11:24	19
9	Al Dahra	18	3	5	10	20:27	14
10	Abu Salim	18	3	4	11	13:30	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Ittihad	16	13	3	0	35:9	42
2	Olympic Azzaweya	16	9	4	3	25:11	31
3	Al Ittihad Misurata	16	7	6	3	21:11	27
4	Al-Majd	16	6	5	5	14:13	23
5	Al Shomooa	16	6	4	6	24:19	22
6	Shabab Al-Ghar	16	4	6	6	17:27	18
7	Al Tirsana	16	3	7	6	15:23	16
8	Ittihad Gharyan	16	2	4	10	10:25	10
9	Abi Al Ashar	16	1	3	12	9:32	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Military Union	16	10	5	1	26:9	35
2	Al Hilal Benghazi	16	10	4	2	20:11	34
3	Al Ahly Benghazi	16	9	6	1	23:6	33
4	Al Taawun	16	7	5	4	19:14	26
5	Darnes	16	5	5	6	16:16	20
6	Al Sadaqa	16	5	4	7	16:17	19
7	Al-Anwar	16	1	8	7	12:23	11
8	Al Borouq	16	2	4	10	7:21	10
9	Al-Suqoor	16	1	3	12	13:35	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Nasr	14	11	2	1	28:7	35
2	Al Akhdar	14	8	4	2	16:9	28
3	Al-Afreeki	14	7	2	5	29:18	23
4	Al Tahaddi	14	5	6	3	21:14	21
5	Khaleej Sirte	14	5	4	5	25:22	19
6	Wefaq Ajdabiya	14	5	3	6	13:17	18
7	Al Murooj SC	14	4	1	9	16:24	13
8	Al-Andalus	14	0	0	14	1:38	0