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Al Naft vs Al-Karma

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Al Naft
17%
Draws
70%
Al-Karma
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al-Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Karma lately — more wins on the board than Al Naft.
  • Al-Karma are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Naft Al-Karma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 12
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al-Karma
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Naft
2:1
Apr 2, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al-Karma
0:0
Sep 26, 2024 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Naft
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Naft 16 / 100
Al-Karma 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Naft Al-Karma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Karma has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Al Naft went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Al Naft scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al Naft VS Al-Karma
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Naft

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Naft
2 : 1
Newroz
27 May
Al Zawraa
0 : 1
Al Naft
19 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
14 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Al Minaa
10 May
Naft Missan
3 : 0
Al Naft
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Al-Karma

(Away)
02 Jun
Al Kahraba
0 : 3
Al-Karma
27 May
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Diyala
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
14 May
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Al-Karma
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)