Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Naft vs Zakho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Naft host Zakho in the Stars League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Al Naft have averaged 0.97 scored and 0.79 conceded recently, against Zakho's 1.07 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Naft have won 1 to Zakho's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.76, favoring Al Naft. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Naft
30%
Draws
23%
Zakho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Naft carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Naft a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 20%
Zakho Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Naft Zakho
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Stars League
Al Naft vs Zakho
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Naft
2:0
Mar 13, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Naft
2:1
Dec 12, 2024 Stars League
Al Naft vs Zakho
2:0
May 27, 2024 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Naft
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Naft 76 / 100
Zakho 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Naft Zakho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Naft Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zakho let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Al Naft has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Naft found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Al Naft VS Zakho
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Naft

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Al Naft
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1
Karbala
09 Sept
Al Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

Zakho

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)